MrHermez · oil, fuel and bunker macro

Fuel Macro & Bunker Intelligence

Dedicated daily lens for crude oil, refined products, physical spot markets, paper futures, bunker fuel, forecasts, macroeconomics, trade and shipping-cost implications.

Two core charts: paper-traded oil/product futures versus physical spot crude proxies. The basis section shows whether paper is trading above or below physical spot.

$90.44

7d -4.39% · 30d 8.44%

Yahoo chart CL=F
$96.83

7d -2.44% · 30d 8.42%

Yahoo chart BZ=F
$96.41

7d -9.91% · 30d 10.55%

FRED DCOILWTICO
$114.89

7d -12.16% · 30d 18.54%

FRED DCOILBRENTEU

Graph 1 — Paper trade: futures market prices

WTI Futures (paper)Brent Futures (paper)Heating Oil FuturesRBOB Gasoline Futures
127.793.860.026.2-7.710-1504-0909-29

USD per barrel/gallon, instrument units as quoted · last 240 common trading days where available.

Graph 2 — Physical trade: crude spot price proxies

WTI Physical SpotBrent Physical Spot
144.8120.896.872.848.810-1604-0709-22

USD per barrel · last 240 common trading days where available.

Paper vs physical basis

Positive means the paper proxy is trading above the physical spot proxy on common dates; negative means a paper discount. Basis can reflect delivery, grade, timing, location and market stress — it is directional, not an executable arbitrage signal.

-1.82

paper discount to physical

-15.64

paper discount to physical

Paper minus physical basis

WTI paper minus physicalBrent paper minus physical
7.3-2.4-12.2-21.9-31.610-0804-0109-22

USD per barrel · last 240 common trading days where available.

Bunker watch

Best-effort public scrape from Ship & Bunker for major port snapshots. Treat as indicative only; paid bunker feeds should be integrated before using for executable pricing.

VLSFO

Singapore: $874.00/mt 5.00Rotterdam: $698.50/mt 5.00Fujairah: $976.00/mt 7.50

MGO

Singapore: $1,304.00/mt 6.00Rotterdam: $1,430.00/mt 11.50Fujairah: $1,686.00/mt 8.50

IFO380

Singapore: $751.00/mt 11.00Rotterdam: $638.50/mt 17.50Fujairah: $708.00/mt 3.00

Macro / forecast / news source board

These are the recurring sources to check for daily fuel narrative: forecasts, inventories, OPEC/IEA views, bunker availability and marine-fuel price moves.

EIA Short-Term Energy OutlookForecasts, inventory balance, Brent outlook and global supply/demand.IEA Oil Market ReportDemand and supply revisions, product demand and refining/bunker implications.OPEC Monthly Oil Market ReportOPEC view on demand, non-OPEC supply, stock trends and crude market balance.Ship & Bunker pricesBunker VLSFO/MGO/IFO380 price snapshots across major ports.ENGINE bunker newsDaily bunker price moves, port availability and marine-fuel market notes.FRED crude spot dataOpen time series for physical WTI/Brent spot proxies.

Interpretive lenses for trade and shipping